Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 2.839157 2.983344 3.134734 3.306210 3.495884 3.700246 3.938417
2025-07-13 2.680023 2.890961 3.123823 3.402691 3.731385 4.111551 4.592379
2025-07-20 2.534566 2.789424 3.082004 3.448701 3.905164 4.468316 5.239857
2025-07-27 2.460254 2.756823 3.109698 3.571517 4.178480 4.979952 6.181956
2025-08-03 2.377276 2.702721 3.101466 3.642787 4.389220 5.439368 7.164497
2025-08-10 2.262288 2.597987 3.017851 3.603120 4.439632 5.676411 7.869508
2025-08-17 2.129963 2.461594 2.881837 3.477765 4.350052 5.684485 8.185682
2025-08-24 2.034407 2.366070 2.791912 3.406412 4.328418 5.791280 8.709066
2025-08-31 1.966989 2.302748 2.739824 3.382346 4.372645 6.009349 9.523136
2025-09-07 1.894408 2.228599 2.668114 3.323341 4.354327 6.114352 10.133124
2025-09-14 1.824989 2.155344 2.593425 3.254024 4.311428 6.166839 10.642204
2025-09-21 1.756427 2.080411 2.512706 3.170212 4.236500 6.147873 10.967294
2025-09-28 1.693674 2.015007 2.447844 3.114998 4.219312 6.267780 11.832965
2025-10-05 1.677700 2.012879 2.472609 3.199777 4.453491 6.950329 14.998138
2025-10-12 1.649073 1.991907 2.469053 3.240005 4.615958 7.536155 18.761949
2025-10-19 1.640825 1.998737 2.506143 3.348794 4.923547 8.580343 27.611250
2025-10-26 1.620760 1.987578 2.515360 3.411758 5.153531 9.541990 42.321470
2025-11-02 1.578105 1.942003 2.469634 3.376476 5.176115 9.926103 56.341279
2025-11-09 1.520084 1.872151 2.383571 3.265062 5.023382 9.718264 59.291581
2025-11-16 1.476710 1.822297 2.326501 3.201478 4.968375 9.820795 73.235386
2025-11-23 1.445703 1.789453 2.294390 3.179998 5.003504 10.246667 118.992622
2025-11-30 1.409426 1.747708 2.246631 3.127305 4.962286 10.392793 182.638950
2025-12-07 1.372964 1.704672 2.195305 3.065297 4.893509 10.419354 286.164616